Since the week after the election, I have been tracking, and archiving in a simple database, articles, books, and monographs for 21 "intersecting explanations" for the election outcome. As David Leonhardt noted in a New York Times op-ed, "One of the sillier aspects of postelection analysis is the notion that any one factor determined the result." I argue that instead, there are many factors that acted intersectionally to produce the outcome. In analyzing which were more important, how they interacted, and what implications there are for strategy, that complex intersectionality must be taken into account.

For an overview of the database, and links to sources on 21 distinct intersecting explanations, visit http://www.noeasyvictories.org/usa/trump-win-reasons.php.

For sources highlighting the rural-urban gap and its impact on electoral politics, see database records below.

The other more specific explanation most closely intertwined with this one is economic decline or stress.

Articles

Books and Working Papers